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Travel
demand models require the following data:
- Personal
trip making characteristics, from a
a household survey:
* Number of trips per day
* Types of trips (work, school, shopping,
recreation, etc.)
* Origin and destination of trips (inside
or outside the region)
* Mode of trips (driver, passenger,
bus, walk, bike)
* Time of day the trip took place
* Number of autos in the household
- Socioeconomic
information about the region:
* Census information on household sizes,
income levels, workers per household
* Employment counts and locations in
the region by type
(industrial, retail, service, etc.)
* Forecasts of future population and
employment growth and location based
on Salem's and Keizer's comprehensive
land use plans
- Detailed
information about the street and highway
system:
* Number of lanes on streets and intersections
(for estimating capacities)
* Posted speeds
* Turn prohibitions
- Other
information:
* Travel into and out of the region
(e.g., Dallas to Salem, Salem to Portland)
* Travel through the region (e.g., Eugene
to Portland)
* Travel time/speed studies that relate
congestion to reductions in speed
* Auto occupancy information
* Traffic counts to validate the model's
output
The
model uses all this information to determine
how many trips for each purpose (work,
shop, etc.) are made by mode and time
of day. The relationships between travel
time and the "attractiveness" of a destination
determine the starting and ending locations
of trips. Information on the street system
(speed, capacities, congestion) determines
on which streets the trips are assigned.
The model is continuously adjusted until
the results match traffic counts. At this
point, the model can be used with population
and employment forecasts to analyze future
traffic volumes on existing or new streets.
If
you have questions or would like more information,
contact Mike Jaffe or Ray Jackson at (503)
588-6177 or send e-mail to mjaffe@mwvcog.org
or rjackson@mwvcog.org.
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